Report: New Aircraft Shortage to Persist Until at Least 2030

· Aviation

Airlines waiting for new aircraft face several more years of delivery shortages, with engine availability and supplier bottlenecks cited among the causes, according to a report. The findings suggest carriers will continue to operate older aircraft longer and rely on leasing and used-market supply to meet demand, rather than counting on new narrowbodies and widebodies arriving on schedule. Engine availability in particular has become a choke point for both new-build aircraft and groundings of existing fleets awaiting powerplant work. For an industry still rebuilding capacity after years of disruption, the constraint limits how quickly routes can be added or frequencies restored. It also strengthens the negotiating position of lessors and MRO providers, and could keep upward pressure on lease rates and maintenance costs through the end of the decade.

Why it matters：Persistent aircraft and engine shortages shape fleet planning, lease rates and route growth for airlines globally through the end of the decade.

Key points

  • The shortage is expected to last until at least 2030.
  • Engine availability and supplier bottlenecks are among the cited causes.
  • Airlines may keep older aircraft in service longer as a result.

Sources (original reporting)

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